Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1487683dc802627b1a5174a7a365b90690a922c77936ef3b9094a94fc539faae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 5,079$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.47 | 1,278 | 47.9%612 W · 666 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 46c | 4,566$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.36 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 44c | 4,550$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 46c | 4,185$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.39 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 11c | 3,237$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.38 | 1,002 | 40.2%403 W · 599 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 3,127$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.18 | 705 | 49.8%351 W · 354 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 2,987$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.14 | 731 | 50.8%371 W · 360 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 46c | 2,382$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.72 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,204$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.93 | 229 | 41.5%95 W · 134 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,847$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 1,571$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.43 | 3,018 | 43.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L | -28.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…ab15backed No | 80c | 1,392$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 67c | 1,086$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 1,005$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 1,888 | 36.5%690 W · 1,198 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Yes | 6c | 999.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 33c | 465.89$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 873 | 54.6%477 W · 396 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 346$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.16 | 687 | 50.7%348 W · 339 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 346$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.16 | 917 | 53.1%487 W · 430 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 73c | 328.81$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 386 | 46.4%179 W · 207 L | +14.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 54c | 246.25$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 55c | 243$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 228.53$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 996 | 45.4%452 W · 544 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 22c | 219.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 54c | 187.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 44c | 176$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed No | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 56c | 142.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 141.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 452 | 40.5%183 W · 269 L | -18.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 141.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 55c | 137.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed No | 54c | 125.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 44c | 90.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 90.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 805 | 58%467 W · 338 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,306 | 51.2%669 W · 637 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 55c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 14c | 73.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 73.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 72c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 33c | 72.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 72.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Yes | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 72c | 70.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 274 | 59.1%162 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 65.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 972 | 56.5%549 W · 423 L | +71.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 29c | 59.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 54.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 552 | 49.3%272 W · 280 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed No | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed No | 49c | 53.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…8767backed Yes | 57c | 52.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 56c | 52.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 68c | 49.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 46.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 377 | 49.9%188 W · 189 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 56c | 38.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 56c | 38.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 73c | 37.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 51c | 36.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 69c | 35.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 56c | 34.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9250…e090backed Yes | 47c | 33.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…a13bbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 55c | 32.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 44c | 28.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 73c | 27.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 55c | 25.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 76c | 23.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 70c | 21.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed No | 72c | 21.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 289 | 21.5%62 W · 227 L | -30.4wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 72c | 19.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 66c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.