Middle East · resolved market
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x445fda2243837cbe5b0fcde3985be1b2b0c88d9ef4c0ef599fed9056e502ca88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,573,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,421,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,573,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…9a12backed Yes | 0c | 90,529$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…15aebacked Yes | 3c | 59,876$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 47,816$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 1c | 42,358$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.94 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…be64backed Yes | 5c | 39,195$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 4c | 23,756$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.61 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 22,397$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…4536backed Yes | 2c | 18,779$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 15,451$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -81%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 14,541$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…77a1backed Yes | 1c | 13,897$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 0c | 13,731$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 13,655$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.78 | 96 | 4.2%4 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…675bbacked Yes | 5c | 13,368$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 3c | 13,247$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…4b8dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,121$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Yes | 3c | 12,837$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 1c | 11,450$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 10,762$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.07 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 4c | 10,527$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.25 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe4…2859backed Yes | 2c | 9,331$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 1c | 9,258$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 1c | 8,500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…1870backed Yes | 4c | 7,733$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked Yes | 2c | 7,316$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…8bccbacked Yes | 5c | 7,165$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5c…903dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,961$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…46cabacked Yes | 2c | 6,563$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…782ebacked Yes | 6c | 6,286$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,264$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.02 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20bd…8e5cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,600$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…69efbacked Yes | 5c | 5,227$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Yes | 2c | 5,151$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…82e0backed Yes | 1c | 5,089$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…4107backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…5620backed Yes | 5c | 4,207$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…9ddbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,880$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…d78abacked Yes | 2c | 3,799$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…a436backed Yes | 5c | 3,728$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…bdcbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,641$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…77d9backed Yes | 4c | 3,593$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes | 2c | 3,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 5c | 3,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…1359backed Yes | 3c | 3,422$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…0da6backed Yes | 2c | 3,397$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…e674backed Yes | 2c | 3,335$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…efdfbacked Yes | 2c | 3,320$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 1c | 3,287$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8d…e00dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,280$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…5aa5backed Yes | 2c | 3,275$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 6c | 3,206$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 3c | 3,180$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…6952backed Yes | 5c | 3,156$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 15cpaid | +320.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x741f…f6cabacked Yes | 0c | 3,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 6c | 3,084$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 3c | 3,074$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 4c | 3,054$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…5204backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…b48cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8a…91f0backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,876$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,719$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…47aabacked Yes | 5c | 2,647$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.60per pick | 20cpaid | +356.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…4ab7backed Yes | 2c | 2,622$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 5c | 2,600$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…2edcbacked Yes | 4c | 2,576$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…2050backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 1c | 2,482$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Yes | 4c | 2,465$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…fb3fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,318$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…cb1bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,275$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…25cbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,196$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…8b45backed Yes | 2c | 2,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…0402backed Yes | 3c | 2,165$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 2,144$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…37fbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,101$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…edd5backed Yes | 3c | 2,100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,046$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Yes | 5c | 2,020$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…43fabacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…9842backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…1863backed Yes | 5c | 1,966$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,953$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…1b55backed Yes | 5c | 1,943$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…2574backed Yes | 4c | 1,914$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…49a5backed Yes | 1c | 1,842$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Yes | 3c | 1,717$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28c…5de7backed Yes | 1c | 1,702$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeea…604dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,634$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 1c | 1,629$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…0b1abacked Yes | 1c | 1,615$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…f15fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,613$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4578…c055backed Yes | 1c | 1,527$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 8c | 1,447$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce59…eb51backed Yes | 5c | 1,415$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.