Fifa International · resolved market
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802b8daacb36b5ea95011670cd004bffe3df70bc9a774da929fbd99074411e91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 45,344$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6c…3eacbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 9c | 10,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.98 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 8,352$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 22c | 7,000$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 78c | 6,862$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.18 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,917$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.65 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,688$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.06 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 9c | 4,337$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.64 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 9c | 3,448$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.57 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab83…5415backed Yes | 8c | 3,433$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.13 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 9c | 3,377$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.84 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,100$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.48 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 9c | 2,767$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 11c | 2,764$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 20c | 2,151$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.49 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 2,099$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.86 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 10c | 1,983$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,896$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,877$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…7973backed Yes | 4c | 1,527$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed No | 79c | 1,500$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,426$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 11c | 1,340$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 9c | 1,272$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 1c | 1,122$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 10c | 1,113$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46b…c162backed Yes | 9c | 1,013$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 12c | 999.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Yes | 10c | 958.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 11.5%15 W · 115 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 22c | 925.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 10c | 907.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 137 | 29.9%41 W · 96 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…7ae9backed Yes | 10c | 762.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…c78fbacked No | 79c | 675.61$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 9c | 604.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 12c | 567.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 8c | 557$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Yes | 9c | 549.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 6c | 543.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…8380backed Yes | 20c | 504.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 10c | 500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…f861backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 10c | 499.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 22c | 464.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…34dfbacked Yes | 21c | 453.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 9c | 418.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…04d4backed Yes | 9c | 417.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…ae15backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 10c | 391.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 10c | 387.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…d5dfbacked Yes | 9c | 378.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 7c | 315.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…450fbacked Yes | 16c | 314.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…b61abacked Yes | 8c | 310.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 289.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f6…32b0backed Yes | 6c | 273.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287e…cbf5backed Yes | 15c | 270.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes | 21c | 260$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce1…4ceebacked Yes | 10c | 258.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…d24cbacked Yes | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 8c | 237.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes | 7c | 225.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…e468backed Yes | 9c | 225$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd007…8eedbacked Yes | 9c | 224.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…3c32backed Yes | 21c | 220.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 8c | 217.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 79c | 212.42$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cec…dbffbacked Yes | 9c | 210.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…fbd8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…eb94backed Yes | 10c | 190.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…22ebbacked Yes | 13c | 188.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes | 20c | 180.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 174.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 79c | 165$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 8c | 162.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147b…dceabacked Yes | 10c | 161.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -89%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…4b19backed Yes | 6c | 159.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8c…1ddcbacked Yes | 7c | 156.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1113…e8cebacked Yes | 10c | 155.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…078fbacked No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 7c | 149.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 147.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 24c | 143.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…c74dbacked Yes | 9c | 140.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…610abacked Yes | 22c | 138.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…3510backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 20c | 126.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d3…efa8backed Yes | 19c | 125.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 22c | 122.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…cc7dbacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…a231backed Yes | 9c | 109.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…41b9backed Yes | 19c | 103.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…57ebbacked Yes | 20c | 101.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.