TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$251,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94e4…87e0backed Yes20c50,170$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0005523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes1c20,497$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4510833.3%36 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes19c20,000$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,793.2911256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No79c15,000$11,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15053448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…e2c4backed Yes20c14,048$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.41633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd859…c7c2backed Yes1c10,450$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.992512%3 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes17c7,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c6,649$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.226330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c4,624$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.727799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b79…fe82backed Yes3c4,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+54%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Yes17c3,848$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.643033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes2c3,754$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0435033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes16c2,456$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.971,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes3c2,454$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.635413%7 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-59.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes3c2,406$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8758926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes5c2,368$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.112,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes19c2,176$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.568750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes3c1,959$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.332,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes16c1,785$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.29516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c1,600$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.26098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No79c1,549$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4421837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c21…ca0dbacked Yes3c1,479$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.44911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-73.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes17c1,403$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7712025%30 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes19c1,319$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.81130%0 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes17c1,244$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5628731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes9c999.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.526940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Yes21c964.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes1c909.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5124537.1%91 W · 154 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes3c900.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.329333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x345a…b413backed Yes21c836.43$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.742729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4aa…f861backed Yes3c829.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.032611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes2c739.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.651315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes2c732.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.440239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes6c716.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.86918.8%13 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed Yes16c640$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.41811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Yes18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No80c514.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7543835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes6c508.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010634%36 W · 70 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8521850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes5c473.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3546464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes3c450.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.627215.3%11 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-35.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes15c432$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.532941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9506…c548backed Yes3c428.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…30abbacked Yes14c347.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.348038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197d…6368backed Yes19c315.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…d8cebacked Yes15c294.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.953023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…8380backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013011.5%15 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No79c275$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked No80c270.16$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.037413.5%10 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes19c268.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes19c264.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010740.2%43 W · 64 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce10…ef76backed Yes20c202$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3553…47f4backed No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+58%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b71…f840backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612829.7%38 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3288838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes15c182$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.425443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes19c167.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.784314%6 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid+41%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014130.5%43 W · 98 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x905d…5896backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd11c…af88backed Yes19c158.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302711.1%3 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-70.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes19c157.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No80c147.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.613437.3%50 W · 84 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes14c147.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6414920.8%31 W · 118 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…250fbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c23…3809backed Yes18c123.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3362…3ac6backed Yes15c116.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.541947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes19c115.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.762937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206621.2%14 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4248…d43fbacked Yes13c107.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.293420.6%7 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes24c107.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.699723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes18c105.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1927729.2%81 W · 196 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x220f…0051backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016425.6%42 W · 122 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812327.6%34 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No80c97.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.548636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes16c95.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9214839.2%58 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7efb…68a1backed Yes18c86.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-85.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc3db…7470backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f3…6be3backed Yes20c79.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes14c79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No80c72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.416741.9%70 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cb…3e56backed No72c66.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.583619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-49.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…4617backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No79c46.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.