Fifa International · resolved market
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73b5c4c8e2cc6e60d97fe6747c19efd3c4d63b6983590bb82d8852d5f1fc46cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Yes | 20c | 50,170$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,497$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.45 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 19c | 20,000$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.29 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 79c | 15,000$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…e2c4backed Yes | 20c | 14,048$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…c7c2backed Yes | 1c | 10,450$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 17c | 7,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.99 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 6,649$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,624$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b79…fe82backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Yes | 17c | 3,848$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.64 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 2c | 3,754$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 16c | 2,456$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.97 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 3c | 2,454$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,406$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,368$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 19c | 2,176$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.56 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 1,959$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 16c | 1,785$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.2 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,600$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 79c | 1,549$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.44 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…ca0dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,479$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 17c | 1,403$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.77 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,319$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.81 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 17c | 1,244$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 9c | 999.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1859backed Yes | 21c | 964.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 1c | 909.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 3c | 900.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345a…b413backed Yes | 21c | 836.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…f861backed Yes | 3c | 829.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 2c | 739.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 2c | 732.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 6c | 716.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0ad8backed Yes | 16c | 640$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 80c | 514.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 6c | 508.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 5c | 473.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…74debacked Yes | 3c | 450.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 15c | 432$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 3c | 428.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked Yes | 14c | 347.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…6368backed Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Yes | 15c | 294.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…8380backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 11.5%15 W · 115 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 275$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked No | 80c | 270.16$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 19c | 268.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 19c | 264.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…ef76backed Yes | 20c | 202$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3553…47f4backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f840backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 15c | 182$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 19c | 167.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…5896backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…af88backed Yes | 19c | 158.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 19c | 157.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 80c | 147.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 14c | 147.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…250fbacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c23…3809backed Yes | 18c | 123.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…3ac6backed Yes | 15c | 116.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 19c | 115.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…d43fbacked Yes | 13c | 107.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 24c | 107.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 277 | 29.2%81 W · 196 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…0051backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 123 | 27.6%34 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 80c | 97.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 16c | 95.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 18c | 86.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…7470backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…6be3backed Yes | 20c | 79.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 14c | 79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 80c | 72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed No | 72c | 66.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…4617backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 79c | 46.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.