CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d5bbfd4acdb5e944181f15d4b2cb73073f0c12e909b0d90e94794101af21b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof ECSTATIC, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x668d…e471backed Ursa | 53c | 3,742$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.3 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Ursa | 7c | 2,067$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 42c | 1,993$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.63 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ECSTATIC | 51c | 1,307$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.35 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC | 67c | 1,017$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 30c | 989.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…394ebacked ECSTATIC | 52c | 976.17$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Ursa | 29c | 940.35$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.26 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Ursa | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ECSTATIC | 52c | 791.94$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa | 13c | 600.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed ECSTATIC | 60c | 593.06$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ursa | 32c | 584.96$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ursa | 51c | 555.01$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ECSTATIC | 59c | 523.19$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.51 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ursa | 40c | 425.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ursa | 28c | 380.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 372.35$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed ECSTATIC | 35c | 350.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.3 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked ECSTATIC | 64c | 339.5$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked ECSTATIC | 57c | 281.68$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 246.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked ECSTATIC | 58c | 198.53$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 183.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ECSTATIC | 55c | 175.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Ursa | 14c | 173.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked ECSTATIC | 54c | 167.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Ursa | 11c | 164.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Ursa | 52c | 163.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked ECSTATIC | 53c | 159.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ursa | 19c | 157.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…eb5ebacked ECSTATIC | 68c | 144.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Ursa | 40c | 123.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ECSTATIC | 59c | 121.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed ECSTATIC | 39c | 106.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Ursa | 29c | 102.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked ECSTATIC | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Ursa | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed Ursa | 15c | 88.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ursa | 35c | 87.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Ursa | 23c | 84.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dce…cd04backed Ursa | 36c | 81.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Ursa | 40c | 79.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked ECSTATIC | 36c | 74.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ursa | 46c | 70.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…a5d6backed Ursa | 42c | 68.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Ursa | 40c | 63.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ursa | 18c | 62.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 62.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Ursa | 58c | 62.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked ECSTATIC | 47c | 52.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ECSTATIC | 70c | 50.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked ECSTATIC | 52c | 48.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…51fdbacked Ursa | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa | 45c | 46.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed ECSTATIC | 48c | 45.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked ECSTATIC | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Ursa | 56c | 38.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed ECSTATIC | 59c | 36.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Ursa | 47c | 35.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed ECSTATIC | 55c | 34.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 33.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…6849backed Ursa | 64c | 30.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Ursa | 65c | 30.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked ECSTATIC | 72c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…b04cbacked Ursa | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ECSTATIC | 79c | 25.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ursa | 53c | 24.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ECSTATIC | 63c | 21.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked ECSTATIC | 53c | 20.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…b3b2backed Ursa | 53c | 20.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked ECSTATIC | 51c | 19.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerECSTATIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.