Tennis · resolved market
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Blake Ellis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb897d250302712b42921e5c4efea7fa1c3257bc6eebfaf2711853b87e60d44f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liam Broadyof Liam Broady, Blake Ellis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Blake Ellis | 19c | 10,044$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Blake Ellis | 9c | 2,658$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.22 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Blake Ellis | 19c | 2,237$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.08 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Blake Ellis | 19c | 2,180$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.32 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…b53abacked Blake Ellis | 9c | 2,119$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Blake Ellis | 15c | 1,992$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.01 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blake Ellis | 15c | 1,777$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.73 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Blake Ellis | 18c | 1,008$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Blake Ellis | 10c | 899.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Liam Broady | 80c | 864.62$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Blake Ellis | 23c | 845.27$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Liam Broady | 76c | 735.07$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Blake Ellis | 20c | 678.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Liam Broady | 79c | 671.16$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Liam Broady | 76c | 651.85$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Blake Ellis | 14c | 561.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Liam Broady | 76c | 492.8$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Blake Ellis | 19c | 447.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Blake Ellis | 13c | 403.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Blake Ellis | 7c | 402.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Blake Ellis | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Blake Ellis | 29c | 335.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Liam Broady | 75c | 266.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Blake Ellis | 37c | 260.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Liam Broady | 76c | 256.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Liam Broady | 73c | 254.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Liam Broady | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Blake Ellis | 20c | 243.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Blake Ellis | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Blake Ellis | 11c | 216.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Blake Ellis | 9c | 209.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Liam Broady | 77c | 200.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Liam Broady | 64c | 183.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blake Ellis | 19c | 183.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Blake Ellis | 19c | 175.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Blake Ellis | 22c | 170.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Blake Ellis | 19c | 137.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Liam Broady | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Blake Ellis | 23c | 130.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Liam Broady | 76c | 130.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Liam Broady | 80c | 126$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Blake Ellis | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Blake Ellis | 17c | 119.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Liam Broady | 76c | 118.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Liam Broady | 79c | 116.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Liam Broady | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Liam Broady | 76c | 106.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Blake Ellis | 19c | 103.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Blake Ellis | 19c | 101.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…7d3cbacked Blake Ellis | 22c | 100.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Liam Broady | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Blake Ellis | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Liam Broady | 78c | 95.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Blake Ellis | 19c | 95.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518e…0913backed Blake Ellis | 23c | 85.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed Blake Ellis | 23c | 81.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Blake Ellis | 16c | 65.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Liam Broady | 76c | 64.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Liam Broady | 78c | 42.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Liam Broady | 75c | 38.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Liam Broady | 73c | 35.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…9ef0backed Liam Broady | 76c | 35.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Liam Broady | 76c | 35.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Liam Broady | 76c | 35.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Liam Broady | 75c | 32.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liam Broady | 78c | 30.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Liam Broady | 76c | 23.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Liam Broady | 74c | 21.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Liam Broady | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 209 | 53.6%112 W · 97 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…1139backed Liam Broady | 78c | 18.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Liam Broady | 76c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Blake Ellisthis page
- Broady vs. Ellis: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.