Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc119474a2cd35b986665cd44d4f234dc78f01c3fce6560ded2747ecc68ddef88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,463$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 66c | 1,010$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.4 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Under | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 401.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 74c | 337$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 259.74$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 236.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 203.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 27c | 136.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 27c | 129.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 73c | 129.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 126.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Under | 65c | 102.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 35c | 41.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…c06abacked Over | 67c | 32.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.