Tennis · resolved market
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Braden Shick
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x142402c30682234d4cbc2dc2e02ade44f4a323a0de9e73cc91040ad9833125e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harry Wendelkenof Harry Wendelken, Braden Shick
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Braden Shick | 10c | 6,324$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.26 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braden Shick | 6c | 4,087$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Harry Wendelken | 69c | 2,538$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.07 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Harry Wendelken | 70c | 1,412$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.79 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Braden Shick | 6c | 1,146$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Braden Shick | 33c | 1,015$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.85 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Braden Shick | 31c | 925.08$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.77 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Harry Wendelken | 67c | 499.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Braden Shick | 30c | 416$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Braden Shick | 32c | 373.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Braden Shick | 31c | 369.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Braden Shick | 12c | 361.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Braden Shick | 17c | 352.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Braden Shick | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Braden Shick | 32c | 260.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Harry Wendelken | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Braden Shick | 13c | 240.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Braden Shick | 28c | 205.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed Braden Shick | 7c | 202.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Braden Shick | 7c | 197.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Braden Shick | 27c | 189.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Braden Shick | 32c | 167.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Braden Shick | 32c | 160.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Harry Wendelken | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Harry Wendelken | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Harry Wendelken | 69c | 143.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Braden Shick | 22c | 142.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Harry Wendelken | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Braden Shick | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Braden Shick | 26c | 133.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Harry Wendelken | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Braden Shick | 32c | 99.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Harry Wendelken | 69c | 95.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Harry Wendelken | 69c | 88.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Harry Wendelken | 69c | 79.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Harry Wendelken | 79c | 79.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Braden Shick | 19c | 77.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Harry Wendelken | 68c | 68.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Harry Wendelken | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Braden Shick | 23c | 59.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Braden Shick | 33c | 58.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Braden Shick | 35c | 54.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…1dc4backed Harry Wendelken | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Harry Wendelken | 69c | 48.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Harry Wendelken | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Harry Wendelken | 70c | 29.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…3fb1backed Harry Wendelken | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 53 | 81.1%43 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Harry Wendelken | 73c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc64backed Harry Wendelken | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…0610backed Harry Wendelken | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…0c0bbacked Harry Wendelken | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…946dbacked Harry Wendelken | 68c | 17.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Harry Wendelken | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…f2e5backed Harry Wendelken | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Harry Wendelken | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.