Tennis · resolved market
San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Miguel Tobon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87a1e00f1609a35f0c68423083ece0c52376f11b67b9befa7a2c322305dd9e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Duckworthof James Duckworth, Miguel Tobon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miguel Tobon | 15c | 1,778$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Miguel Tobon | 25c | 1,450$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.11 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Miguel Tobon | 48c | 1,095$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.08 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Miguel Tobon | 16c | 1,044$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…8179backed Miguel Tobon | 50c | 1,025$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed James Duckworth | 67c | 1,019$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…632abacked James Duckworth | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked James Duckworth | 69c | 704.51$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.46 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Miguel Tobon | 6c | 539.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Miguel Tobon | 31c | 532.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.05 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked James Duckworth | 79c | 531.97$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked James Duckworth | 60c | 520.72$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miguel Tobon | 8c | 513.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Miguel Tobon | 52c | 399.23$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.12 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked James Duckworth | 52c | 281.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.94 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Miguel Tobon | 49c | 237.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked James Duckworth | 76c | 226.66$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed James Duckworth | 69c | 204.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miguel Tobon | 29c | 203.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed Miguel Tobon | 26c | 202.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Miguel Tobon | 32c | 199.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Miguel Tobon | 26c | 191.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed James Duckworth | 71c | 168.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Miguel Tobon | 10c | 159.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Miguel Tobon | 32c | 155.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Miguel Tobon | 45c | 149.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed James Duckworth | 72c | 147.48$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Miguel Tobon | 31c | 145.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed James Duckworth | 70c | 140.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Miguel Tobon | 31c | 125.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Miguel Tobon | 22c | 114.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6863backed James Duckworth | 68c | 113.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed James Duckworth | 74c | 113$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked James Duckworth | 65c | 104.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed James Duckworth | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Miguel Tobon | 23c | 91.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Miguel Tobon | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked James Duckworth | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed James Duckworth | 78c | 70.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked James Duckworth | 67c | 68.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Miguel Tobon | 30c | 67.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed James Duckworth | 76c | 57.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked James Duckworth | 53c | 55.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed James Duckworth | 77c | 52.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miguel Tobon | 53c | 47.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5955backed James Duckworth | 72c | 46.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed James Duckworth | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed James Duckworth | 65c | 41.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834a…8dcabacked James Duckworth | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed James Duckworth | 70c | 39.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked James Duckworth | 74c | 39.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed Miguel Tobon | 27c | 38.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed James Duckworth | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Miguel Tobon | 32c | 35.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed James Duckworth | 68c | 35.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed James Duckworth | 52c | 33.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked James Duckworth | 69c | 29.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked James Duckworth | 72c | 24.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 305 | 55.4%169 W · 136 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed James Duckworth | 72c | 24.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed James Duckworth | 68c | 24.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…0c0bbacked James Duckworth | 69c | 21.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed James Duckworth | 70c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed James Duckworth | 68c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.