CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cde7af6a67a4d4527c5fcb23158445734ffec545471ec846efde9575303463e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Hashiras | 20c | 1,710$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.71 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Lavked | 76c | 1,156$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.88 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 39c | 1,105$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Lavked | 66c | 812.7$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.45 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 32c | 691.54$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked | 80c | 657.07$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Lavked | 77c | 562.25$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.53 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 24c | 501.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Hashiras | 13c | 489.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked | 76c | 400$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lavked | 77c | 246.87$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hashiras | 31c | 225.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 58c | 177.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Lavked | 60c | 134.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Hashiras | 34c | 122.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lavked | 70c | 117.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hashiras | 33c | 116.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Hashiras | 40c | 112.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lavked | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Hashiras | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Lavked | 78c | 83.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hashiras | 33c | 74.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lavked | 58c | 66.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Hashiras | 20c | 65.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Hashiras | 39c | 58.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Hashiras | 31c | 50.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Hashiras | 43c | 49.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hashiras | 25c | 49.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hashiras | 34c | 48.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Hashiras | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Hashiras | 31c | 40.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hashiras | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…f645backed Hashiras | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.