CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x100f2b8f13878e8a6fdbb33066e6c284dec5bc2dd2d935671c7d0ed2279735f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf535…e984backed Lavked | 67c | 5,334$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.17 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Hashiras | 40c | 3,205$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.41 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Hashiras | 24c | 1,602$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.2 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Hashiras | 35c | 1,552$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.82 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hashiras | 3c | 1,327$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Hashiras | 34c | 1,235$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Lavked | 75c | 1,121$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.86 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hashiras | 31c | 1,075$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.13 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hashiras | 26c | 1,044$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.46 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lavked | 60c | 878.4$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.36 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 24c | 665.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Lavked | 60c | 640.45$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.18 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Hashiras | 13c | 583.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Lavked | 61c | 571.33$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.51 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4235…69cbbacked Lavked | 58c | 511.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…2b54backed Hashiras | 41c | 506.8$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Hashiras | 42c | 458.53$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hashiras | 10c | 434.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 57c | 390$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Hashiras | 35c | 364.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Hashiras | 14c | 284.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Hashiras | 34c | 284.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Hashiras | 12c | 275.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 257 | 33.9%87 W · 170 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hashiras | 32c | 233.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Hashiras | 36c | 187.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hashiras | 30c | 178.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…aa48backed Lavked | 60c | 169.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Hashiras | 11c | 168.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Hashiras | 40c | 160.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 53c | 157.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Hashiras | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Lavked | 61c | 148.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Hashiras | 38c | 146.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hashiras | 17c | 142.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Lavked | 57c | 127.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hashiras | 23c | 124.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hashiras | 34c | 122.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hashiras | 30c | 116.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Hashiras | 18c | 102.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed Lavked | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Lavked | 61c | 83.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Hashiras | 46c | 77.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked Lavked | 60c | 75.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed Lavked | 70c | 69.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Lavked | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Lavked | 61c | 63.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Lavked | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Hashiras | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hashiras | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae74backed Hashiras | 22c | 58.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Hashiras | 42c | 57.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Lavked | 60c | 53.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Hashiras | 28c | 45.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Hashiras | 33c | 42.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…8a5cbacked Hashiras | 38c | 41.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Lavked | 59c | 40.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hashiras | 34c | 39.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Hashiras | 37c | 37.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hashiras | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9927…f135backed Lavked | 73c | 34.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Lavked | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Hashiras | 39c | 29.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Lavked | 56c | 29.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hashiras | 41c | 25.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e1…1637backed Lavked | 62c | 24.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Lavked | 58c | 22.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…6b4fbacked Lavked | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Lavked | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 610 | 54.6%333 W · 277 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Lavked | 59c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed Lavked | 66c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Lavked | 62c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.