CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefafa0157688890760b3050dd8e5f5eb30f4d6ceb13ff62f9f6d8f8d58fdaf80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Hashiras | 44c | 1,802$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.58 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Hashiras | 43c | 1,163$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.09 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked | 58c | 786.31$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.77 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 60c | 743.37$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Hashiras | 49c | 657.71$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.03 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked | 47c | 433.67$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.92 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lavked | 50c | 385.28$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Lavked | 61c | 336.08$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.85 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked | 57c | 327.77$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hashiras | 48c | 314.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hashiras | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 50c | 264.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Hashiras | 44c | 261.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Lavked | 63c | 237.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 60c | 219.65$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lavked | 53c | 183.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Lavked | 71c | 133.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 55c | 125.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Lavked | 50c | 123.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Lavked | 63c | 115.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lavked | 59c | 104.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hashiras | 43c | 93.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hashiras | 40c | 78.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Lavked | 65c | 74.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Lavked | 59c | 47.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hashiras | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Lavked | 45c | 30.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Lavked | 51c | 30.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Lavked | 64c | 26.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Hashiras | 45c | 25.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9927…f135backed Lavked | 68c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.