MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1f3f40e36d7ce49083576c7c419e867425cdba0d632781cb68bed0b6867fbc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 5,979$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.34 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 4,011$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 2,637$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.62 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 1,841$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.03 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 48c | 1,540$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.39 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Under | 53c | 1,372$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 1,342$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.9 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.96 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 45c | 727.27$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.27 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 46c | 712.15$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.59 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 45c | 671.73$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.28 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 47c | 413.4$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 301.2$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 55c | 291.9$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 52c | 215.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 172.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 47c | 158.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 47c | 137.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 47c | 137.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 47c | 137.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 53c | 133.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 89.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Over | 46c | 81.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 55c | 61.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 52c | 56.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d9…a1e4backed Under | 69c | 52.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 48c | 52.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Under | 54c | 46.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 46c | 44.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 53c | 43.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 48c | 38.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 36.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 31.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Over | 48c | 29.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 53c | 29.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 46c | 28.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 54c | 25.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 46c | 25.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta BravesCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.