NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d8478acc5e9b9f3e94e79b9370cd8a0209c730f7846a5273f5a7f48fe15c7a

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,425 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs	36c	12,500$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	97	25.8%25 W · 72 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks	64c	3,513$2,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.93	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks	64c	3,154$2,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,135.51	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks	67c	2,198$1,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.34	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks	67c	2,182$1,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.18	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks	64c	2,000$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Spurs	35c	1,130$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks	64c	634.36$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.37	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks	66c	523.54$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.93	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs	33c	506.99$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.31	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks	65c	493$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.76	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks	67c	450.89$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.35	131	61.8%81 W · 50 L	+13.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks	64c	420$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.2	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Spurs	35c	408.57$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs	33c	373.38$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.58	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks	69c	362.82$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.44	360	51.7%186 W · 174 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs	33c	330.01$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.72	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Knicks	65c	317.7$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.19	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x638e…a81bbacked Spurs	39c	317.41$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.79	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce1…0ea7backed Spurs	35c	312.52$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.75	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks	64c	300$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs	34c	286$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.34	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs	37c	283$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.01	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs	34c	280.22$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.31	255	54.5%139 W · 116 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Spurs	33c	267$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.11	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spurs	33c	262$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.46	186	53.2%99 W · 87 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs	33c	246.77$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.43	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf0…20b2backed Spurs	33c	242.42$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Knicks	64c	237.58$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.7	185	57.3%106 W · 79 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Knicks	68c	230.89$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.95	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs	33c	219.65$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.55	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Knicks	55c	209.34$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.02	253	40.3%102 W · 151 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs	46c	200$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	109	44%48 W · 61 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs	34c	196.54$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.82	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Knicks	58c	190$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.8	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	+10.3wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Knicks	61c	174.41$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.02	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs	33c	169.22$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.78	259	54.4%141 W · 118 L	+34.1wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+68.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Spurs	36c	166.67$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c1…648dbacked Spurs	33c	152.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Knicks	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Knicks	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Knicks	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	37	73%27 W · 10 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs	32c	99.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks	63c	93$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.41	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks	68c	79.6$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.6	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Knicks	69c	78.92$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.71	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks	72c	72$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.52	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs	31c	69$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-9.1wins	-0.23per pick	44cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks	72c	65.97$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.47	112	58.9%66 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks	64c	55.81$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.09	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Knicks	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	267	55.1%147 W · 120 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs	38c	46.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.53	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Knicks	68c	44.12$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.12	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Knicks	67c	41.79$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.79	75	61.3%46 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…e2c0backed Knicks	62c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks	70c	33$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb2…82e5backed Knicks	67c	29.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Knicks	67c	28.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.45	71	54.9%39 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	+9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks	67c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	304	48.4%147 W · 157 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks	69c	23.46$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.38	592	55.4%328 W · 264 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks	71c	19.09$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.51	156	48.1%75 W · 81 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed Knicks	65c	16.88$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.89	15	93.3%14 W · 1 L	+6.5wins	+0.44per pick	50cpaid	+92.5%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event