Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Marie Bouzkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x911f32e466abc645a44a91a22ae5da170d5e2c00cb7a7c777acf03f6aea3a3ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marie Bouzkovaof Elsa Jacquemot, Marie Bouzkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,900 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Elsa Jacquemot | 1c | 4,231$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…8b58backed Elsa Jacquemot | 23c | 3,488$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Elsa Jacquemot | 4c | 2,432$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Marie Bouzkova | 77c | 1,777$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Marie Bouzkova | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…fa43backed Elsa Jacquemot | 9c | 403.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Elsa Jacquemot | 13c | 383.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elsa Jacquemot | 7c | 324.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Marie Bouzkova | 74c | 308.35$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Elsa Jacquemot | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Elsa Jacquemot | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Elsa Jacquemot | 11c | 280.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Elsa Jacquemot | 28c | 249$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elsa Jacquemot | 25c | 218.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Elsa Jacquemot | 8c | 199.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Elsa Jacquemot | 17c | 168.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Marie Bouzkova | 73c | 160.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Marie Bouzkova | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Marie Bouzkova | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elsa Jacquemot | 26c | 125.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Marie Bouzkova | 73c | 115.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Elsa Jacquemot | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Elsa Jacquemot | 26c | 94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Elsa Jacquemot | 27c | 91.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Marie Bouzkova | 75c | 89.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Elsa Jacquemot | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Elsa Jacquemot | 26c | 84.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…2365backed Elsa Jacquemot | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Elsa Jacquemot | 27c | 69.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Marie Bouzkova | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…72ddbacked Marie Bouzkova | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 129 | 65.9%85 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Marie Bouzkova | 75c | 47.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Marie Bouzkova | 74c | 44.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Marie Bouzkova | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076f…dc12backed Marie Bouzkova | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Marie Bouzkova | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Marie Bouzkova | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.