TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes4c5,510$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.225621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c3,956$3,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.043,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes23c1,607$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.7184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes38c998.51$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.439145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c771.6$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c759.53$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6796947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Yes28c699.27$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Yes19c665.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes29c662.77$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.471127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes29c660.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.481338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes29c507.42$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes28c497.54$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.311414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes21c449.59$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.418045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No69c422.83$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6910956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No69c422.83$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6914552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No72c416.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7112057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed No65c412.69$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No67c353.11$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8314654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf76…d969backed Yes13c351.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes36c340.12$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.061,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c333.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7211833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked No76c319.08$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes24c313.59$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.383432.4%11 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes27c311.02$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.023828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No72c267.56$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.827100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes18c264.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.543522.9%8 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Yes37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.28560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+73.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed Yes28c249.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes39c246.24$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked No63c245.12$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.694269%29 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes20c235.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.015545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes28c228.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes18c211.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.032114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No73c199.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1431849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes28c191.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.583225%8 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No74c154.59$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.815547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No72c153.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.963857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes29c151.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.891338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes29c148.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9411536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c147.05$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.791950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No74c136.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.059056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c135.68$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6266150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No73c128.24$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6311443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes19c111.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.161612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.74753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.75147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Yes29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.721233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No70c98.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.463271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+60.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes31c93.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.45034%17 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes21c90.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5138047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No72c88.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.225257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes27c87.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4969448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No71c86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.943661.1%22 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes26c85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.131842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes26c84.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.041926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No69c84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.043582.9%29 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+34.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No72c81.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.721747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes33c78.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0474155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes27c70.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.121421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No71c68.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.824369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad0…5bebbacked Yes29c67.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c61.62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4978344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No71c59.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3915949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes24c58.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed No68c56.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.233953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No79c55.3$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8619250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5af0…011cbacked Yes20c53.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aba…8adabacked Yes27c53.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No78c50.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.924358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.73855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No72c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.68261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No73c44.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3545135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed No72c41.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.665100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes30c41.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.28520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed9d…444abacked Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed No72c39.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.195448.1%26 W · 28 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Yes35c38.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.461241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No73c33.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.14546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.93644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No72c29.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.264965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No79c25.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.371747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No80c25.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.057357.5%42 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No70c23.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7faf…e2b5backed No78c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb157…4ebdbacked No63c20.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No73c20.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.449345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee7…0f4abacked No73c19.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No72c19.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.515680.4%45 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No70c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+82.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No75c13.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.418349.4%41 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.