Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x155df3a706736661c463f118f6f9267ced4e9f0648a6008948142c86bd930c96

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $207,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $241,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,879 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	13c	29,287$3,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,675.95	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	13c	23,126$3,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,085.02	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes	13c	14,615$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes	14c	7,288$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.32	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes	13c	3,993$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.05	51	3.9%2 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes	13c	2,500$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes	1c	2,008$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes	13c	1,938$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	262	16%42 W · 220 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a26…46c6backed Yes	16c	1,254$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Yes	1c	1,060$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes	13c	840$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	473	21.6%102 W · 371 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	226	26.5%60 W · 166 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d12…9591backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	136	20.6%28 W · 108 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes	12c	750.78$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.17	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes	14c	750$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes	12c	735.92$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.31	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes	6c	666.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	173	9.2%16 W · 157 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5829…5a3abacked Yes	16c	637.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Yes	12c	557.51$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.67	151	27.8%42 W · 109 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes	13c	546.15$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	208	19.7%41 W · 167 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes	14c	535.71$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	99	7.1%7 W · 92 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes	14c	519.56$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.01	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a03…a455backed Yes	15c	507.32$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.9	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes	16c	501.32$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.25	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb03b…a5dfbacked Yes	13c	452.64$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc38c…ef7fbacked Yes	16c	440.63$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes	14c	390.14$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	756	30.4%230 W · 526 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	175	18.3%32 W · 143 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes	13c	359$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.67	156	7.7%12 W · 144 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	302	19.9%60 W · 242 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	7c	333.62$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.35	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7c…03f9backed Yes	16c	315.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	191	52.4%100 W · 91 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes	14c	309.35$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.16	335	10.1%34 W · 301 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	200	13.5%27 W · 173 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4765…ca11backed Yes	14c	297.8$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	116	12.9%15 W · 101 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes	20c	257.5$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	120	15.8%19 W · 101 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8933…630dbacked Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	126	22.2%28 W · 98 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes	13c	250$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	164	28.7%47 W · 117 L	+9.9wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes	14c	249.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	319	20.1%64 W · 255 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes	12c	222$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	225	43.1%97 W · 128 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	510	45.3%231 W · 279 L	+21.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ce…fd49backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes	12c	202.38$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	294	28.9%85 W · 209 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	16c	200.7$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.04	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…6af8backed Yes	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes	14c	178$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.92	342	31.3%107 W · 235 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	14c	174$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.07	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2556…b00ebacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	632	29.3%185 W · 447 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab5…0adcbacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44a…51a7backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	307	32.9%101 W · 206 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Yes	15c	159.91$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.99	218	28.9%63 W · 155 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	142	16.2%23 W · 119 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9640…abbbbacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	483	34.2%165 W · 318 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e60…84aabacked Yes	7c	150$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2c…c700backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85dd…6c4fbacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3984…ca66backed Yes	16c	137.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+5.3wins	+0.18per pick	40cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	235	29.8%70 W · 165 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes	13c	131$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.03	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ed…1b53backed Yes	15c	126.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+166.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes	17c	115.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	61	34.4%21 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	11c	108$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Yes	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes	11c	96$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+8.2wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91cb…637bbacked Yes	14c	85.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes	18c	81.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	205	32.2%66 W · 139 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…6f38backed Yes	13c	80$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba42…27d2backed Yes	14c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	19c	80$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…5449backed Yes	15c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	146	34.2%50 W · 96 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Yes	13c	77$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	83	41%34 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x829c…e098backed Yes	17c	76.84$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	135	40%54 W · 81 L	+12.0wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x985d…f98bbacked Yes	19c	74.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…80babacked Yes	16c	74.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.85	50	12%6 W · 44 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Yes	15c	72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…287bbacked Yes	15c	68.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	107	41.1%44 W · 63 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a46…9e53backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	77	24.7%19 W · 58 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	79c	23.2$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.87	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No	80c	23.09$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.62	508	33.3%169 W · 339 L	-35.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 0 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?Yes won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 3 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 3 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 0 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 2 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Spain?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event