Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2198587aefec0fea9373f69a149cc2ee2f8064c3c70266acb932e2cb5a7b6504

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $319,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $344,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,244 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	57,238$3,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,633.6	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	6c	49,703$2,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,812.11	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	7c	30,311$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	6c	17,049$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,023.36	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes	5c	15,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes	6c	8,333$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Yes	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes	7c	4,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes	6c	3,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	163	19.6%32 W · 131 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes	5c	2,711$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.55	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes	6c	2,250$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes	6c	1,500$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.84	319	20.1%64 W · 255 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	4c	1,313$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.3	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	1,048$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe659…c021backed Yes	7c	1,035$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	166	47.6%79 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	6c	886.61$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.8	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb67…b610backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes	6c	773.08$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.48	335	10.1%34 W · 301 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes	3c	750$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	255	10.6%27 W · 228 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed Yes	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes	6c	683.33$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	109	29.4%32 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes	6c	666.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	97	30.9%30 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	6c	654.54$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.38	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9f…c3fbbacked Yes	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f24…0bd0backed Yes	6c	600$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	48	6.3%3 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes	5c	570.1$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes	5c	516.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	6c	514$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.98	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes	5c	500$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d82…c734backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	81	12.3%10 W · 71 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd056…6633backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	5c	475.59$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes	7c	442.86$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbccf…8a3fbacked Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72e…9fdabacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbac…732cbacked Yes	4c	368$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes	7c	357.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	303	21.5%65 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc27e…009dbacked Yes	6c	350$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30c3…2ccbbacked Yes	6c	338.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…14d2backed Yes	6c	334.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74b…4e15backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	13.2%10 W · 66 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac78…a7b7backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	273	27.5%75 W · 198 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab2…94b9backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8e…804fbacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x591e…0498backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf61d…caddbacked Yes	6c	321$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	129	27.9%36 W · 93 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfb…cf44backed Yes	5c	315.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	187	23.5%44 W · 143 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	6c	303$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…6d18backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf6…eca4backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859e…894fbacked Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	6c	279$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	756	30.4%230 W · 526 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	632	29.3%185 W · 447 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44a…51a7backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	307	32.9%101 W · 206 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…6156backed Yes	6c	243.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…95d9backed Yes	5c	240$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…d42dbacked Yes	5c	233.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fca…dde6backed Yes	6c	216.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	132	6.8%9 W · 123 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	172	23.3%40 W · 132 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	176	38.1%67 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c7f…25bdbacked Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	209	32.5%68 W · 141 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	147	20.4%30 W · 117 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9732…5f8bbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0303backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes	6c	195.51$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	97	17.5%17 W · 80 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9c…913bbacked Yes	6c	183.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	6c	179$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…e150backed Yes	6c	177.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf65a…c8fbbacked Yes	7c	171.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 0 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?Yes won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 3 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 3 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 0 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 2 Spain?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Spain?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event