TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 3 Spain?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,382 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5faf…1183backed Yes3c25,000$738 inLost-$737.529823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c16,056$431 inLost-$431.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes3c12,000$323 inLost-$32352522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes3c4,597$117 inLost-$117.4378317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes3c3,437$96 inLost-$96.2329017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes3c2,500$73 inLost-$731,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72e…9fdabacked Yes2c2,311$50 inLost-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick6cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes3c1,915$50 inLost-$5038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes3c1,852$50 inLost-$5023929.7%71 W · 168 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes3c1,852$50 inLost-$5023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes3c1,696$43 inLost-$42.8935514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes2c1,097$26 inLost-$26.337412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes3c1,071$30 inLost-$30967.3%7 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes2c999.97$21 inLost-$21.536423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ed…1b53backed Yes2c894.44$21 inLost-$211513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+166.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes3c892.86$25 inLost-$2553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac78…a7b7backed Yes2c835.02$18 inLost-$17.5112330.9%38 W · 85 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes3c800$20 inLost-$2072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…6633backed Yes3c642.33$18 inLost-$17.953221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b5…255ebacked Yes3c603.17$17 inLost-$16.751533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…d35fbacked Yes3c600$16 inLost-$15.65317%9 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes3c579.43$17 inLost-$1735714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes3c542.33$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes3c540$14 inLost-$13.59717.5%17 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf248…c699backed Yes3c357.14$10 inLost-$109116.5%15 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.