Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e07d13411de017058d67dcbc413b1debdc59c161952fb575f495c6308501b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 8,085$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 6,981$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.03 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,991$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.11 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 14c | 1,955$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…dc37backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,700$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 14c | 1,333$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.93 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed Yes | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 9c | 750$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 7c | 500.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 10c | 483.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 386.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533b…0a9ebacked Yes | 10c | 368$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 232 | 27.6%64 W · 168 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…6fd4backed Yes | 10c | 272.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 10c | 267.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 12c | 249.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…848abacked Yes | 11c | 233.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…da23backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 13.4%13 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 10c | 192.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859e…894fbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 11c | 155$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…913bbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…db9bbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 146 | 34.2%50 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65a…c8fbbacked Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…3d85backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee12…50a4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…bc97backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…cf9cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ab…b989backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 76c | 69.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?Yes won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Spain?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.