Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 3 Canada?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d78dbc028ce1242f2aa56ffad22bffdefc7a70d8c7e4f30e9c5a4cbaa151930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 9,417$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.27 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 5c | 7,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 6,439$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.95 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 6c | 4,167$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 5c | 1,926$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 6c | 1,696$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 4c | 1,138$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…f0c8backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Yes | 5c | 943$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…3977backed Yes | 6c | 941.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Yes | 3c | 733.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…95edbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 678.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 5c | 639.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 5c | 610$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 5c | 534.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 7c | 523.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 3c | 463.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d76…196fbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…5ec8backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…ad59backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…63efbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 17.3%17 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…2533backed Yes | 7c | 328.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 6c | 313.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 4c | 303.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…9f33backed Yes | 5c | 293.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779c…b96fbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 19.8%38 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…51a7backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 307 | 32.9%101 W · 206 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 5c | 200.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…ef7fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…2ccbbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 7c | 167.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 3 Canada?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?Yes won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 3 Canada?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.