Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x435096167bb6c38383fab3166e66e54f50b91fdd3775178930159fc051bc4e37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 4,609$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.29 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 8c | 1,867$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,581$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,284$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 7c | 1,250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 8c | 1,202$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…22f0backed Yes | 1c | 866.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 7c | 655.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 9c | 446$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…c44fbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Yes | 7c | 442.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26d…2f8ebacked Yes | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +203%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked Yes | 20c | 166.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e9…a226backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 78c | 141.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 7c | 137.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…c77ebacked Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?Yes won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 3 Canada?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.