Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 2 Canada?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafb8ed5462bee9cb736c9a5b45aaf02547d3ac6a2a66a3176618afaf9364d9db

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $92,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $87,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,275 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	27,261$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.08	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes	0c	12,125$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.06	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	5c	3,720$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	355	14.4%51 W · 304 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf08e…6cc1backed Yes	2c	946$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	2c	942.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.62	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	4c	900.25$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.01	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec58…6412backed Yes	4c	888.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes	6c	796.61$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	229	14%32 W · 197 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	4c	750$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	4c	736.45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.46	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ad…6254backed Yes	4c	682.93$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.44	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	+5.8wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d18…8fa3backed Yes	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	192	19.8%38 W · 154 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	270	51.9%140 W · 130 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…652cbacked Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf52…513fbacked Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes	5c	480.73$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	212	26.9%57 W · 155 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes	3c	462.18$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes	5c	423.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.18	195	17.9%35 W · 160 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4703…3ba6backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	4.8%3 W · 60 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d9a…894fbacked Yes	5c	320$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	11cpaid	-90.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d4c…cdb1backed Yes	5c	307.76$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	4c	250.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Yes	4c	250.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	206	26.2%54 W · 152 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	266	46.2%123 W · 143 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes	5c	245$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	5c	228.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	356	21.9%78 W · 278 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	157	8.9%14 W · 143 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0060…5dd4backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	173	12.7%22 W · 151 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a94…6fdbbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c7a…3cd6backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf702…61bbbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 2 Canada?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?Yes won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 3 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 0 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 1 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 3 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 0 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 1 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 2 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 3 Canada?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 2 Canada?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event