Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 3 Canada?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5826684340fb26354cce33bbe6cda977e8e6d8a03503bf6133af7404618c8e1a

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $189,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $184,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,360 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	43,389$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.48	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes	3c	12,923$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.94	275	20.4%56 W · 219 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ced…d59fbacked Yes	2c	12,677$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.78	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes	2c	8,900$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.9	116	16.4%19 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Yes	2c	4,249$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.57	107	18.7%20 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes	2c	3,708$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	274	33.9%93 W · 181 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes	2c	3,116$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	266	18%48 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes	2c	2,533$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.79	84	19%16 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes	3c	1,923$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	287	16.4%47 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x275e…95edbacked Yes	3c	1,724$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes	2c	1,684$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.68	229	31%71 W · 158 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes	2c	1,674$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	207	25.6%53 W · 154 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes	2c	1,567$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	212	26.9%57 W · 155 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes	2c	1,438$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.93	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes	2c	1,304$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	175	6.3%11 W · 164 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes	2c	1,159$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes	3c	1,154$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	178	20.8%37 W · 141 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes	2c	1,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	131	12.2%16 W · 115 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes	2c	941.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	142	16.2%23 W · 119 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	2c	869.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb1…9dc1backed Yes	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes	2c	800$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.18	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes	2c	750$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8547…ec4fbacked Yes	2c	700$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…5f93backed Yes	2c	681.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	2c	652.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	2c	650$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes	2c	619.05$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…bf74backed Yes	3c	576.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	118	23.7%28 W · 90 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	3c	576.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes	2c	500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	242	33.5%81 W · 161 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	499.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes	2c	427.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 3 Canada?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?Yes won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 3 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 0 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 1 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 2 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 0 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 1 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 2 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 3 Canada?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 3 Canada?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event