TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 3 Canada?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$381,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,160 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c54,676$448 inLost-$448.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes1c39,490$294 inLost-$293.9856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes1c30,000$240 inLost-$24038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Yes1c29,217$198 inLost-$1981756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad52…990fbacked Yes1c27,336$200 inLost-$2009335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes0c18,888$81 inLost-$81.123427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes1c10,086$81 inLost-$80.6926216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b49…178dbacked Yes1c10,000$80 inLost-$801136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd7…084ebacked Yes1c8,286$58 inLost-$58230%0 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes1c5,514$39 inLost-$38.6348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes1c5,000$40 inLost-$4012114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ad…6254backed Yes0c4,513$16 inLost-$16.465935.6%21 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6d75backed Yes1c3,750$30 inLost-$303627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes1c3,479$30 inLost-$3021029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…8fa3backed Yes1c2,883$30 inLost-$304626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes1c2,857$20 inLost-$2072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes1c1,667$15 inLost-$1538817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae0…7483backed Yes1c1,500$12 inLost-$12533.8%2 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes1c1,442$14 inLost-$14.4219517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes1c1,397$12 inLost-$126266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes1c1,250$10 inLost-$1014216.2%23 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9a…65d8backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost-$10330%0 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec58…6412backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost-$10137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost-$109125.3%23 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost-$1032312.1%39 W · 284 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$101578.9%14 W · 143 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.