Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dc94b6b94fb312ec4b8ba524d6567aa3699c081324cfef2c4605fa5a31fbde6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 7c | 30,136$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.55 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 17,725$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 7c | 17,023$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.61 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…53c8backed Yes | 8c | 8,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 3,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 9c | 3,139$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.79 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,574$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 6c | 2,522$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb880…2b03backed Yes | 7c | 1,105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…0bd0backed Yes | 11c | 1,037$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…be0ebacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 3c | 999.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 8c | 996.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Yes | 10c | 969.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 12c | 840$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 11c | 802.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 9c | 785.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…92d0backed Yes | 13c | 765.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 750$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 11c | 742$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…95edbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 8c | 674.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…078abacked Yes | 13c | 615.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +372.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766d…624fbacked Yes | 11c | 527.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 10c | 488.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 6c | 449.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…cf58backed Yes | 14c | 430.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af1…5a2dbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a8…a003backed Yes | 12c | 417.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes | 7c | 399.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 136 | 10.3%14 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe826…adb7backed Yes | 7c | 371.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…785fbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…4e02backed Yes | 7c | 278.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…8f40backed Yes | 11c | 276.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…bf74backed Yes | 9c | 226.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes | 7c | 203.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 459 | 32.5%149 W · 310 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 10c | 153.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00dd…5215backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…e26dbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…5d7ebacked Yes | 9c | 140.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…ce05backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +87%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 12c | 121.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…3242backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…6dddbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…967fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…ce04backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 10.4%11 W · 95 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?Yes won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 3 Canada?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.