Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 0 Canada?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e10ed795739624c20478f1d97fbff19d5f173a2f2cf692ea65117315bf60821

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $100,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $98,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,187 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	3c	20,413$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes	2c	3,989$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	103	5.8%6 W · 97 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-66%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb91…a3f4backed Yes	2c	2,652$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f24…0bd0backed Yes	4c	2,492$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	6.3%3 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Yes	2c	2,309$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.67	76	32.9%25 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	3c	2,091$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.37	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	3c	1,692$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.07	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	3c	1,134$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes	3c	1,080$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	229	14%32 W · 197 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	2c	978.25$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x098e…fa16backed Yes	2c	977.08$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Yes	2c	900$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	269	21.6%58 W · 211 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	3c	892.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf52…513fbacked Yes	2c	869.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb9…14a8backed Yes	2c	750$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+27%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes	3c	674.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	3c	635$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.78	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	4c	578.28$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.06	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes	2c	470.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	121	9.1%11 W · 110 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…64fbbacked Yes	3c	409.52$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	76	11.8%9 W · 67 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd05e…2114backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52d…18b3backed Yes	4c	296.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 0 Canada?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?Yes won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 3 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 1 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 2 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 3 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 0 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 1 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 2 Canada?No won
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 3 Canada?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 0 Canada?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event