TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 1 Canada?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c51,099$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Yes5c19,489$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.454327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes5c4,170$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.51219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes8c2,154$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.982,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes5c1,600$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8035110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes5c1,429$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.452,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes5c1,067$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.352,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012313.8%17 W · 106 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…fa16backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes3c767.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.022,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes3c701.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.032,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4765…ca11backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011612.9%15 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf52…513fbacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes6c489.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.361,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes3c450$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x766d…624fbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb03c…eec4backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208017.5%14 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016019.4%31 W · 129 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…d204backed Yes5c320$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169738.1%37 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66f4…9c4cbacked Yes6c316.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199231.5%29 W · 63 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9a…894fbacked Yes6c313.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8273.7%1 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-90.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x341f…0442backed Yes5c305$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2515020%30 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518128.2%51 W · 130 L+0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010729.9%32 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca1…a5f0backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee42…64a2backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104951%25 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019219.8%38 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x898c…e4c3backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6447…3f7bbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105829.3%17 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010737.4%40 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1201…6b9abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010132.7%33 W · 68 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019932.2%64 W · 135 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7a…3cd6backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104710.6%5 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf702…61bbbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102114.3%3 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-57.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b75…2e6dbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108727.6%24 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dfd…67aabacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103237.5%12 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd05e…2114backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-77.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x360a…f56abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-91.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.