Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 1 Canada?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b00d471475184b87410634150a3a41eed778255f4db9a39b6d2aa32ebdbcafd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 51,099$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Yes | 5c | 19,489$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.45 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 5c | 4,170$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 8c | 2,154$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,429$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 5c | 1,067$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…fa16backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 3c | 767.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 701.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…ca11backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…513fbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 6c | 489.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766d…624fbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…eec4backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…d204backed Yes | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…9c4cbacked Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…894fbacked Yes | 6c | 313.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…0442backed Yes | 5c | 305$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 150 | 20%30 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…a5f0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee42…64a2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 19.8%38 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…e4c3backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…3f7bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…6b9abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…ddd6backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 199 | 32.2%64 W · 135 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…3cd6backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…61bbbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…2e6dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…67aabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…2114backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…f56abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 1 Canada?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?Yes won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 3 Canada?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.