La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed80ccaf4eb9c6542af2b64680735b127d4e706199788b0a665272dec434d358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 7,396$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 2,495$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.61 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 55c | 2,163$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.47 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.1 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 43c | 1,867$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.38 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 1,494$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.01 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 48c | 1,471$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.08 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,466$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.17 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 932.96$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.82 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 57c | 918.74$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 655.47$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.52 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 48c | 603.04$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 541.06$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.06 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 21c | 524.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 399.84$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 26c | 259.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…1c94backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 229.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 26c | 223.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…86bebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 49c | 199.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 169.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 29c | 165.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 45c | 152.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 33c | 133$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 75c | 132.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 129$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 43c | 116.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 104.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 88.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 53c | 82.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…e205backed Over | 48c | 81.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 51c | 66.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 17c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 44c | 52.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…b67cbacked Under | 69c | 52.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 43.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Under | 52c | 43.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 43cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…a218backed Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 36.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 77c | 31.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 52c | 31.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 70c | 29.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 27.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 58c | 27.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 48c | 27.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 52c | 25.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 49c | 22.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 58c | 21.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 63c | 20.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 54c | 18.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.