La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d51ba8f2f56cd5795221bec8d9afb2036b6a827714f9ad151d8328217fc8a50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 6,335$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.93 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 3,587$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.19 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 2,898$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.36 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 39c | 2,566$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 28c | 1,558$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.18 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 65c | 1,174$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.03 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 950.17$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.09 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 590.93$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.85 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 71c | 500.33$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 497.63$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.28 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 73c | 475$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 416.53$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.68 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 43c | 370$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 70c | 363.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 362.3$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Over | 58c | 331.03$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 42c | 323.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 51c | 310$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed Over | 38c | 224.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 62c | 221.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 190.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 27c | 161.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 40c | 157$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 127.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…e882backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 39c | 94.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…09d2backed Over | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…dad7backed Over | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 88.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…028cbacked Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 35c | 79.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 69c | 72.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 26c | 63.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 31c | 62.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…3bbabacked Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 71c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 45c | 48.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 54c | 47.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 57c | 39.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 26.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Over | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 25.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8770…43b0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +300%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.