La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcac719d009b3e93a2fedfeb2e73c13b6104277e9b43d86e44ab593fd0afe0803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 54c | 18,000$9,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,728.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 47c | 3,380$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.86 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,307$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.02 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 2,430$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.24 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722b…c68bbacked No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 45c | 1,865$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.98 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 1,664$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.49 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 1,489$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.94 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 46c | 977.2$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.92 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 951.53$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.31 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 46c | 760.86$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.86 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 54c | 660.61$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.05 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 51c | 574.82$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 50c | 424.91$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.59 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 50c | 298$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 48c | 277.72$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 48c | 228.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 224.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.86 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 53c | 188.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 46c | 179.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 46c | 176.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 39c | 168.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 47c | 96.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 51c | 88.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 36c | 86.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 86.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…82b5backed Yes | 53c | 80.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…386fbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 46c | 74.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 43c | 70.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 48c | 62.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 52c | 57.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 52c | 57.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…d911backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 47c | 46.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…03b0backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5296…c60dbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 48c | 35.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yes | 53c | 31.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 46c | 29.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 48c | 29.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.