La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x245fff924ab1ebddf56b9c59d4ff1376be4a1506b7e559c9815c0a2824d53695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sevilla FCof RC Celta de Vigo, Sevilla FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 5,968$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.83 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sevilla FC | 74c | 4,882$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.94 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 1,900$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 1,566$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.1 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Sevilla FC | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 28c | 999.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 28c | 999.21$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked RC Celta de Vigo | 26c | 952.9$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 945.19$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.85 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sevilla FC | 75c | 900.97$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.51 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sevilla FC | 76c | 784$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Sevilla FC | 75c | 681$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.25 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sevilla FC | 75c | 571.36$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 439.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sevilla FC | 75c | 418.14$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Sevilla FC | 75c | 417.14$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sevilla FC | 78c | 366.71$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sevilla FC | 75c | 358.71$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Sevilla FC | 75c | 337.95$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Sevilla FC | 73c | 222.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 16c | 162$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed RC Celta de Vigo | 27c | 160.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Sevilla FC | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sevilla FC | 69c | 137.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed RC Celta de Vigo | 29c | 125.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed RC Celta de Vigo | 31c | 125.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed RC Celta de Vigo | 15c | 107.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…499ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sevilla FC | 75c | 83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 79.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sevilla FC | 73c | 66.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Sevilla FC | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Sevilla FC | 74c | 50.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Sevilla FC | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Sevilla FC | 74c | 42.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed RC Celta de Vigo | 31c | 36.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Sevilla FC | 78c | 30.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Sevilla FC | 75c | 30.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Sevilla FC | 74c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Sevilla FC | 73c | 25.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Sevilla FC | 75c | 24.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sevilla FC | 75c | 20.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Sevilla FC | 72c | 17.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…6861backed Sevilla FC | 71c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…27acbacked Sevilla FC | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Sevilla FC | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.