La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x402e5e40f67e04997249dc8ea794a0ba425c228edf82bfbe916aa5fb03040807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 25c | 7,453$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 2,671$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.2 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 75c | 1,866$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.07 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 1,677$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.87 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Under | 77c | 816.4$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.77 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 74c | 472.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 5c | 404.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 77c | 387.38$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 74c | 362.53$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 6c | 269$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 224.14$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 74c | 139.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 11c | 128.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 27c | 81.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 75.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 75c | 71.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 74c | 53.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 74c | 41.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 73c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.