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NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6157…9fb4backed Over55c18,084$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c3,142$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over55c2,830$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.55358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c2,747$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.452,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c2,356$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.3164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c2,328$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over55c1,817$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.1710248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,698$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.861,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c1,679$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c1,440$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.376,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under39c1,331$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.831,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c1,215$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.2532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c1,138$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.2989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under31c1,026$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.1111946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over55c1,009$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55521957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over48c916.88$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.118140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5216…4a45backed Over56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c791.4$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.2766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over55c643.46$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9123742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over56c560.86$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.0830641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over55c499.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over55c438.59$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.221070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Over75c421.88$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.333043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over54c416.43$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8725954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c400.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.541,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under5c374.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4631222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over55c359.6$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.781553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under12c344.3$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.271,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over4c295.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under13c292$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0418941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over69c289.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over42c262.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Over55c248.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9414753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over55c203.35$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.941,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under5c202.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4827937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10814338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x616f…b241backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over56c196$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7636153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under32c189.6$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9320247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over55c182$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over55c180.84$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4612055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over55c180.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over55c167$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over55c167$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8526147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over55c148.44$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5730448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under76c144.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3925045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over60c126.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2421953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under45c126$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4234850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over61c121.32$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under45c121.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6616048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c114.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.551,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over51c113.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5412146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over59c90.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under45c90.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under45c88.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8810548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over54c88.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under49c87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3725340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over54c83.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2117250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3baa…96f4backed Over56c82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.922646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under38c77.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over56c74.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.662144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae1…5f2abacked Over56c71.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under67c69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over56c68.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.812150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630d…875abacked Under15c68.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.94633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+95.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf75…099fbacked Over55c66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab6…8b57backed Over56c64.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa77e…a4ccbacked Over42c64.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over79c62.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.725150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under44c62.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.821,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under38c61.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.046141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over55c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.85133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under30c53.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.519853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Under47c53.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.453452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under25c52.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4525554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under43c50.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.761872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under45c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.32259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over69c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over37c43.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1217237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under45c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5925944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1511…5607backed Over55c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over54c36.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f02…823dbacked Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Over60c25.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159966.7%66 W · 33 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7927354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over55c24.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8130616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9935…a6b4backed Over55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73ec…9659backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over79c18.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8818557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.