La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85849f1b241fa21233b0217a0be7d127f3596d7da53b311448a110358f87c010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 67c | 2,208$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.82 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Under | 33c | 2,099$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 1,940$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.65 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 76c | 660.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 591.89$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.91 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed Over | 66c | 454.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 62c | 420.6$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.11 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 309.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 32c | 184.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Over | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 33c | 117$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 62c | 107.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 31c | 64.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 68c | 58.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 29c | 57.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 68c | 39.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 70c | 35.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Over | 68c | 33.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 32c | 33.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…35c5backed Over | 68c | 20.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5this page
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.