La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04917189ee3a7c6a6d7236f056c1a02578a42c0de21dc0a2d68e13b0ae5f4a78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a2…cbddbacked Under | 68c | 1,094$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 969.88$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 69c | 700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 54c | 601.89$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.89 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 59c | 438.31$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.31 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 79c | 362.47$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.44 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 41c | 318$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.16 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 80c | 263.64$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…24a9backed Under | 63c | 261.04$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 242.71$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.22 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 219.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 21c | 207.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.94 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 164.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 21c | 131.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 29c | 104$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 21c | 102.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 76c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 76.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 80c | 75.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 66.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 40c | 62.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 51c | 60.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Under | 72c | 43.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Under | 48c | 41.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 31c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…ca1fbacked Under | 58c | 39.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 44c | 30.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 78c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 40c | 26.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 62c | 25.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under | 79c | 15.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 79c | 15.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 79c | 14.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…f0bbbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.