La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x295cf69dece9053c44a4a8d14ae61336bd2a6bbb18cea89ced2d50cdb892ca28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 2,965$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked No | 55c | 1,272$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.87 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 50c | 956$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 46c | 445.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.38 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 218.42$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 53c | 150.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…c05bbacked Yes | 50c | 99.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 49c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…cfbebacked No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…d2bdbacked Yes | 50c | 47.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…12ebbacked No | 52c | 44.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…7b2abacked No | 52c | 40.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9344…fb69backed Yes | 50c | 38.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 54c | 21.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 75c | 17.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.