Ligue 1 · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e807e19cf5ee6a6d476d3893ffeb7c233c6727799e58281e9df50dcf0a513ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 4,461$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.71 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Yes | 72c | 2,471$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 1,674$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.77 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 75c | 1,294$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.77 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Yes | 71c | 1,212$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Yes | 72c | 1,026$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 985.9$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.57 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 30c | 800.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 68c | 721.31$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.82 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 68c | 622.57$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 30c | 502.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 74c | 486.53$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 388.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 28c | 362.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 69c | 289$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed No | 4c | 280.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Yes | 71c | 223.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 24c | 203.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 68c | 197$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 190$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 30c | 188.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 153.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 71c | 123.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 70c | 122.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Yes | 71c | 89.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…509fbacked Yes | 76c | 66.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 75c | 60.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 29c | 47.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 31c | 46.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked No | 29c | 42.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 70c | 42.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 79c | 31.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…93ddbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…e34abacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 74c | 20.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.