TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4064…f741backed Over48c49,020$23,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,621.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over52c25,550$13,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,338.588944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under48c13,619$6,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,537.033423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under52c6,400$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3286347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c5,927$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8455257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under52c4,800$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4964548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+107.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over52c2,863$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.574143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under52c2,800$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4565151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under52c2,368$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.362944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under48c2,217$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.281952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under52c2,178$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.315151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under52c2,096$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.3622745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under49c2,021$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0403250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c1,996$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.9152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under52c1,840$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.83948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over54c1,653$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.053834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under53c1,626$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.531050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under52c1,600$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8325251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under52c1,600$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8324854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6244951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5883647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6244548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c1,193$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.051,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c1,098$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under48c1,094$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5254742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under52c1,040$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under52c1,040$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.84753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5308250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5206654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under51c968.37$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.4616448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4686357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4686051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c888$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0846450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over52c883$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.84850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c769$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0827748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c720.11$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9330448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c719.46$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7726041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c688.1$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0523342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under25c655.28$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3559348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under52c640$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.85251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under52c624$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.485552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under52c624$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.484953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under52c560$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.24847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c479.23$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under53c471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6327049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under53c471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6333148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2085352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2084553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2084650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under53c380$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under52c370$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.81540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under54c365.94$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.611233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under56c338.57$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under53c299$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4710942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under52c294.6$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.854440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over56c252.05$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0722854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under49c244.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12060%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.89553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under53c228.97$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.113250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under53c228.87$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8435157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under49c205.91$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.827853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under55c199.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under31c191.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8526046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under52c180.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1310145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under54c166.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.912152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.23652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under51c140.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.534544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over74c134.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.234753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over74c134.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.233345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under53c125.01$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.253324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.49954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under42c119.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over58c108.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7818847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under55c101.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over56c100.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.524348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over51c74.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.363363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.045151%26 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7d…0a9ebacked Over52c71.21$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc790…c73ebacked Under47c70.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under52c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.83036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over50c62.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.69050%45 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Under49c56.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.572259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf255…3561backed Under36c55.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under48c55.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.426352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Under53c52.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…6eebbacked Under48c52.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under41c50.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.042050%10 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under48c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.561250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0133145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c44.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.89657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd173…bfaebacked Under50c43.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.68944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.