MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde71439ebda5ca0835ba965557784983e09db6631df5f092868aa128c1717eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Athletics | 41c | 107,873$44,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,645.06 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 34,396$20,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,293.46 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Athletics | 53c | 28,408$15,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,239.87 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Athletics | 41c | 24,597$10,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,512.41 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 44c | 20,618$9,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,601.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 20,258$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.78 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 15,703$7,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,757.16 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 13,850$8,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,171.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Athletics | 40c | 13,254$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,952.5 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 9,295$5,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,577.6 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Athletics | 40c | 8,398$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,038.77 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 7,855$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 40c | 7,845$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,682.01 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Athletics | 52c | 7,333$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.01 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Athletics | 40c | 7,262$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.96 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 6,156$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.35 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 5,857$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 5,361$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.09 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…2fe0backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 5,033$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 4,197$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.08 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 63c | 3,990$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.88 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 3,906$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 45c | 3,715$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 3,081$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.74 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Athletics | 41c | 3,058$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.51 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 2,554$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.3 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Athletics | 38c | 2,538$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.54 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Athletics | 41c | 2,423$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.9 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics | 40c | 1,937$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.9 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,774$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,763$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.19 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners | 4c | 1,720$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Athletics | 68c | 1,584$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.13 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 46c | 1,557$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Athletics | 41c | 1,447$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,445$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.83 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 71c | 1,358$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.11 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,327$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.51 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 1,273$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.7 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…00abbacked Seattle Mariners | 19c | 1,266$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Athletics | 41c | 1,218$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.57 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Athletics | 41c | 1,122$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.02 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.78 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,045$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.63 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 976.32$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.93 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 976$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.6 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 976$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.6 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 926.91$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 923.44$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.94 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Athletics | 41c | 915.63$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Athletics | 53c | 909.19$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.16 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 894.82$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.48 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 872.55$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.94 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 819.31$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.51 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 792.56$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Athletics | 41c | 788.95$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.48 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Athletics | 39c | 721.31$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 679.3$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.58 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 624.63$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Athletics | 40c | 602.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 596.83$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.94 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Athletics | 40c | 551.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.44 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Athletics | 67c | 543.8$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 529.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 502.64$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.58 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletics | 40c | 500$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Athletics | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…badebacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 481.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Athletics | 41c | 476.24$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Athletics | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 463.6$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.16 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 462.92$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.62 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 421.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.57 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 36c | 412.53$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 406.67$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 406.67$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 402.27$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 400.85$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.24 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 394.04$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.78 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 59c | 392.39$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Athletics | 52c | 369.17$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.37 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 360.02$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Athletics | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Athletics | 40c | 333.15$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.37 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 329.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 325.96$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 310.37$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 310.37$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 296.32$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.76 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Athletics | 41c | 289.38$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Seattle Mariners | 14c | 280.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.