MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd485aeeab6969b4986c3b140516fba65adc561239a0c13e3fd62280b02fedcd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 136,210$56,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,949.58 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…76adbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 67,362$37,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,048.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 39,433$15,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,691.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 29,200$15,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,767.92 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 19,352$8,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,450.08 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 17,751$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800.58 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 11,575$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.73 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 11,549$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.41 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 10,832$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.08 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 8,680$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.07 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 7,810$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.46 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 7,702$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.44 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 7,262$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.91 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 6,916$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.21 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 6,577$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 6,310$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.63 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 5,455$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 4,200$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 3,538$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 3,417$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…93ddbacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 3,300$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 3,139$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.58 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 3,095$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.39 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 2,940$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.65 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,904$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.48 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,524$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.05 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 2,427$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.89 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,232$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 2,205$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.27 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 1,694$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 1,539$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.84 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 1,500$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,410$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.37 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,302$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 1,284$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.01 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,029$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.17 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 942.63$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.58 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 888.27$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.21 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 883.92$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.32 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kansas City Royals | 10c | 809.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 766.97$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.01 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 704.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 12c | 676.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Kansas City Royals | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 624.53$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.25 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 512.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Kansas City Royals | 17c | 487.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 471.83$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.65 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 458.09$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 454.77$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.58 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 381.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.08 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 380.57$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.02 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 375.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.83 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 370.26$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.35 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 343.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 329.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 320.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 316.61$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Kansas City Royals | 8c | 315.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 314.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.58 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 23c | 308.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 303.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 299$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…e28fbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 291.9$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 289.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…c08dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 288.91$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 281.77$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 270$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 269.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 254.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 243.84$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 237.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 225.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 225.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 215.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 210.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 169.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 169.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Kansas City Royals | 27c | 165.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 164.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 159.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 159.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.