MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d826b70b23f1822056fa8765b1ec6df3ae3036386afe304cd42669032e2c1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 50,583$25,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,791.49 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 49c | 45,511$22,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,300.42 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 39c | 12,679$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.44 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Over | 52c | 2,739$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.62 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 2,607$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.84 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 68c | 2,106$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.87 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,995$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.11 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 1,747$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.03 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 1,696$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.86 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.95 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 68c | 1,104$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Under | 49c | 1,083$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.91 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 1,016$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.29 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 928.56$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.99 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Under | 56c | 875.06$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.43 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 46c | 751.15$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.62 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 52c | 747.46$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.51 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Under | 50c | 533.5$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 68c | 490.4$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 47c | 466.2$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.42 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 52c | 463.72$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 382.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.45 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 305.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 261.27$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 58c | 252.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.46 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 46c | 248.21$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 50c | 243.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 227$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 50c | 197.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Under | 49c | 195.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 59c | 193.19$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 154.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 68c | 148.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 35c | 136.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 17c | 134.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 52c | 102.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 50c | 95.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 84.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 36c | 76.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 44c | 73.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 50c | 69.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 53c | 65.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 68c | 64.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 47c | 63.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c09…990bbacked Over | 66c | 59.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…fc31backed Under | 52c | 58.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 50c | 58.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 50c | 57.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 52c | 55.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 52c | 52.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 56c | 52.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 49c | 49.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 45c | 47.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 396 | 53.5%212 W · 184 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 51c | 41.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Under | 55c | 41.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…e155backed Under | 63c | 35.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 68c | 34.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Over | 66c | 33.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 31.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 47c | 31.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -10.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 50c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 29.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Over | 52c | 27.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Under | 54c | 26.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…5982backed Over | 47c | 26.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 61c | 25.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 45c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Under | 50c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City RoyalsBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.