TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ursaof Ursa, ex-Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x183f…85e3backed ex-Zero Tenacity44c8,140$3,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,586.223848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa67c8,107$5,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.165,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity43c6,595$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.865,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e29…cd86backed ex-Zero Tenacity33c5,734$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.421931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ursa65c3,973$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.321,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ursa67c3,940$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.372,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed ex-Zero Tenacity38c3,939$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.0578043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Ursa59c3,064$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.514247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity37c2,668$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.2360248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-Zero Tenacity38c2,523$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.852,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed ex-Zero Tenacity51c2,499$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.1966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ex-Zero Tenacity36c2,123$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.542,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ex-Zero Tenacity34c2,100$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7141,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8f0…37ebbacked Ursa67c2,000$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed Ursa52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96018356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity44c1,892$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.792,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity44c1,861$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.063,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Ursa54c1,758$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.5483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Ursa60c1,583$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.935745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity49c1,439$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.644,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed ex-Zero Tenacity23c1,429$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.592,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity34c1,354$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.167,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ursa52c1,302$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.581,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Ursa55c1,287$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.252,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Ursa60c1,285$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.9818338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Ursa70c1,270$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.7328455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Ursa60c1,199$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.619540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Ursa62c1,138$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.734568.9%31 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Ursa63c1,109$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.9647641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed ex-Zero Tenacity37c1,091$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9713253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity35c1,075$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.3436440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked ex-Zero Tenacity51c1,037$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.851,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Ursa70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30020562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ursa66c999.94$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.981020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed ex-Zero Tenacity33c903.99$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2942638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity33c893.16$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.745,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Ursa67c871.97$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.752,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Ursa39c855.38$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.1148635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa67c833.19$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.116,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ursa52c815.89$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.042,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019344%85 W · 108 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Ursa53c737.46$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.643,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Ursa53c720.9$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.411,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Ursa62c645.56$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.071,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9e…102abacked Ursa57c599.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.219757.7%56 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Ursa58c565.58$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.462,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6766…0db2backed ex-Zero Tenacity46c542.24$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2484959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ex-Zero Tenacity30c534.31$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.891,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed ex-Zero Tenacity44c531.77$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.091,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Ursa67c509.99$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.316346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed Ursa53c508.42$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4129455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed ex-Zero Tenacity30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ursa48c499.69$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.031,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Ursa42c495.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9827848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Ursa67c490$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.73455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity44c485.63$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6540635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ex-Zero Tenacity40c475.27$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.552,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked ex-Zero Tenacity58c454$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6430348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Ursa67c450.68$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8339245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity46c413.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.745238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity43c406$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.932,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed ex-Zero Tenacity44c404.9$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9914544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Ursa58c392.54$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3766446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Ursa51c386.4$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2812748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Ursa44c370$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.825747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked Ursa68c350.68$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2214971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Ursa59c325.77$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5121949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed ex-Zero Tenacity33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10077351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity53c301.58$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4230450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Ursa55c270.57$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1928173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Ursa62c242.6$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2927552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ex-Zero Tenacity29c232.18$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.861,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed ex-Zero Tenacity54c232.12$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.718754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ex-Zero Tenacity31c230$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.32,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed Ursa69c222.7$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7427156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked ex-Zero Tenacity31c220.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6832542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked ex-Zero Tenacity43c219.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2349242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Ursa74c216.76$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7648562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Ursa49c215.47$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2732649.7%162 W · 164 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed Ursa40c212.69$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2423644.1%104 W · 132 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ad…a123backed Ursa54c201.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9112946.5%60 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked ex-Zero Tenacity36c201.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.951,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.361,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Ursa53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9420258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Ursa67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6635744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed ex-Zero Tenacity32c192$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4445646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1de…aadfbacked Ursa64c189.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.391747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Ursa50c189.8$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3217044.1%75 W · 95 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed ex-Zero Tenacity26c186.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8819142.4%81 W · 110 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Ursa52c183.63$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9426048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…93c7backed Ursa60c183.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Ursa57c177.39$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3817449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Ursa60c176.87$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.44,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Ursa57c175.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5922954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Ursa43c174.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.698856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Ursa61c173.37$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4345465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e1e…2a7dbacked Ursa60c166.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.834858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Ursa49c160.79$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.496639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Ursa63c159.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.814,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34cc…d703backed Ursa64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.