CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f937d23ae33523887d8abf7e749b5cb34d748d3a1434e3cb4e7e7b89c5d13c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 70c | 1,227$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.28 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 32c | 907.77$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.84 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 66c | 273.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 30c | 216.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 38c | 119.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 36c | 110.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked Over | 61c | 97.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 33c | 97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Over | 61c | 96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 20c | 75.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 36c | 74.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 62c | 62.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 43c | 59.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 40.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 57c | 25.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 56c | 25.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Under | 56c | 21.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Under | 54c | 18.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5)ex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.