CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cc3a803cab7acf89f139bb3520269bc78cdd654e93997427cebb85120db2144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof Ursa, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 7,609$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.71 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ursa | 41c | 3,101$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.73 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 52c | 2,143$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ursa | 24c | 1,830$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.62 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 1,722$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.81 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ursa | 49c | 1,596$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.23 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 1,581$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.02 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Ursa | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ursa | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.8 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Ursa | 3c | 1,204$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 1,025$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.23 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Ursa | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Ursa | 45c | 998.71$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 962.4$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.26 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Ursa | 52c | 833$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.08 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ursa | 50c | 673.01$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.48 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ursa | 50c | 654$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.67 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ursa | 40c | 601.46$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.36 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Ursa | 62c | 577.58$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed Ursa | 44c | 527.5$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ursa | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.52 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ursa | 30c | 461.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…cbbebacked Ursa | 45c | 449.85$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ursa | 40c | 434.44$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Ursa | 54c | 372$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 320$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.48 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Ursa | 32c | 253.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Ursa | 54c | 204.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ursa | 32c | 204$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ursa | 29c | 172.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ursa | 36c | 146.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Ursa | 28c | 144.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 67c | 144$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 142.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 139.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 134.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Ursa | 65c | 131$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Ursa | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ursa | 34c | 121.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 111$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Ursa | 30c | 110.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Ursa | 32c | 109.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 103.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 78c | 102.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Ursa | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Ursa | 51c | 98.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Ursa | 45c | 97.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Ursa | 58c | 91.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…6be6backed Ursa | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ursa | 47c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 28c | 72.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ursa | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ursa | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Ursa | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed Ursa | 32c | 52.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Ursa | 58c | 51.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…baf2backed Ursa | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 49.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…36f9backed Ursa | 37c | 40.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Ursa | 50c | 34.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 32.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Ursa | 42c | 30.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Ursa | 51c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ursa | 42c | 27.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Ursa | 51c | 24.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…c9b8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5)ex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.