CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x388bbc59e8e857e9dd36f902746451ab6f1cb1909a45520e00b3df753ee2c590
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Ursa, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Ursa | 76c | 6,260$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.47 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 2,601$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 2,513$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.08 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Ursa | 64c | 1,755$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.6 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 26c | 1,431$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.12 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ursa | 67c | 948.7$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.86 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Ursa | 61c | 856.05$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.86 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Ursa | 78c | 825$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 766.01$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.12 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 22c | 741.36$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 619.36$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 22c | 552$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 520.16$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ursa | 62c | 495.58$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.32 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 386$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0db2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 14c | 355.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Ursa | 67c | 280.74$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 270.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 256$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 24c | 246.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 238.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 235.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ursa | 63c | 193.62$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa | 78c | 169.19$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…6be6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 10c | 165$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 128$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 124.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 19c | 115$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Ursa | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 95.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 84.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Ursa | 61c | 83.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…c353backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ursa | 63c | 75.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked Ursa | 61c | 42.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Ursa | 60c | 31.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked Ursa | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Ursa | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Ursa | 60c | 20.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Ursa | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Ursa | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5)ex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.