CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d91be3015e54ea35af25a363841e46660e2f4217512a966d5fdfa536cc00d15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Nemiga | 20c | 2,040$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.97 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Nemiga | 56c | 1,868$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.59 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 1,769$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.28 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Nemiga | 22c | 1,176$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.26 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Nemiga | 37c | 1,175$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.47 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Nemiga | 54c | 1,123$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.48 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 49c | 980.82$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.32 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 973.03$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.94 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 761.5$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.2 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 665.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 606$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 546.24$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.37 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 490.7$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-RUBY | 42c | 490.09$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 425.35$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Nemiga | 65c | 412$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Nemiga | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Nemiga | 64c | 395.06$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 132 | 34.8%46 W · 86 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 379.6$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.32 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 334.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.86 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…cfcfbacked ex-RUBY | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Nemiga | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 254.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 47c | 249.15$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Nemiga | 29c | 247.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 246.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.9 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Nemiga | 66c | 237.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 212.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…681bbacked ex-RUBY | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Nemiga | 64c | 191.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 31c | 182.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 174$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked ex-RUBY | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked ex-RUBY | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga | 65c | 135.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Nemiga | 40c | 126$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga | 38c | 116.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 112.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 110.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Nemiga | 65c | 103.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked ex-RUBY | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0136…8e5dbacked ex-RUBY | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Nemiga | 65c | 97.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga | 30c | 90.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-RUBY | 35c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Nemiga | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ex-RUBY | 36c | 85.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga | 32c | 82.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 80.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…f8ddbacked ex-RUBY | 34c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Nemiga | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Nemiga | 46c | 57.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nemiga | 63c | 57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 53.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Nemiga | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked ex-RUBY | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Nemiga | 65c | 49.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Nemiga | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Nemiga | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Nemiga | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764c…c68abacked Nemiga | 64c | 29.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY | 68c | 28.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Nemiga | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Nemiga | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Nemiga | 49c | 20.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 18.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 15.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.