TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Boltof Jamie Mackenzie, Alex Bolt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x749e…1090backed Jamie Mackenzie47c10,884$5,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,141.179935.4%35 W · 64 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Alex Bolt55c7,800$4,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,509.962878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+46.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jamie Mackenzie23c5,256$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.368,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Jamie Mackenzie34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7003655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Jamie Mackenzie41c3,935$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.84,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Alex Bolt61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.023565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Alex Bolt69c2,000$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.247728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked Alex Bolt71c1,979$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.2117357.8%100 W · 73 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Alex Bolt77c1,948$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0562956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Bolt74c1,825$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.59,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a2b…57dcbacked Jamie Mackenzie6c1,628$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-65.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee9…8e38backed Alex Bolt54c1,314$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.592755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Alex Bolt71c1,240$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.7818445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Jamie Mackenzie45c1,089$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49053657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Alex Bolt50c1,031$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1446155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Alex Bolt51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6147857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Alex Bolt51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6147651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Alex Bolt51c994.81$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.4652355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jamie Mackenzie47c959.57$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.854,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Alex Bolt59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.469751.5%50 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Jamie Mackenzie23c714.67$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2421524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Alex Bolt80c551.3$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.261,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Alex Bolt74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1304,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Jamie Mackenzie6c381.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.952910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Jamie Mackenzie48c348.19$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.721,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Alex Bolt64c312.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7882560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Jamie Mackenzie45c301.07$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4840935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x509e…5a4bbacked Alex Bolt49c281.05$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.582479.2%19 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+35.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jamie Mackenzie45c270.49$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.727,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Alex Bolt51c262$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3844758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d5…e9f4backed Alex Bolt51c262$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.382352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Alex Bolt49c257.08$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1137460.4%226 W · 148 L+29.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31e4…d170backed Alex Bolt49c252.92$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.993452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Alex Bolt51c246$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5439759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Alex Bolt51c243$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0736557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Jamie Mackenzie45c201.88$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Jamie Mackenzie44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Alex Bolt60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806467.2%43 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c2…51f9backed Jamie Mackenzie49c194.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.542828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Alex Bolt69c181.24$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3570456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Jamie Mackenzie29c170.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030749.8%153 W · 154 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Jamie Mackenzie44c163.13$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.253,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Alex Bolt61c150.1$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3463252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Alex Bolt51c148.77$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8549658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Jamie Mackenzie34c146.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.784247.6%20 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Jamie Mackenzie36c146.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.581,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Jamie Mackenzie21c140.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.112,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Jamie Mackenzie50c130.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Jamie Mackenzie45c128.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a0…f000backed Jamie Mackenzie45c122.73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.835550.9%28 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Jamie Mackenzie45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5079646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Alex Bolt70c110.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1852557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Jamie Mackenzie22c107.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9695050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jamie Mackenzie44c100.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.244,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab9…5be4backed Alex Bolt51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.045152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Jamie Mackenzie40c94.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Alex Bolt59c88.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2525948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Bolt76c88.05$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.818,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bf…a572backed Alex Bolt73c80.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0419977.4%154 W · 45 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd838…96ccbacked Alex Bolt66c78.79$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.794257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd15c…9355backed Alex Bolt77c76.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.651631.3%5 W · 11 L-7.4wins-0.46per pick77cpaid-58.7%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Jamie Mackenzie45c75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.751,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…0b91backed Alex Bolt57c71.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.845952.5%31 W · 28 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Jamie Mackenzie45c69.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1851457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Jamie Mackenzie45c66.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9925448.4%123 W · 131 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7475…fc7ebacked Jamie Mackenzie27c66.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6710339.8%41 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Jamie Mackenzie51c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.641,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5a9…3a77backed Jamie Mackenzie35c60.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0311551.3%59 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a9…41d1backed Jamie Mackenzie34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209366.7%62 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f11…72abbacked Alex Bolt71c58.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.961553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b84…5c6dbacked Jamie Mackenzie45c55.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5edb…00a9backed Jamie Mackenzie46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2123842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1527…120ebacked Jamie Mackenzie37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Alex Bolt67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.455764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c21…3bc2backed Jamie Mackenzie20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Alex Bolt49c48.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6889663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Alex Bolt63c47.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5690854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Jamie Mackenzie22c46.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1185742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Alex Bolt71c46.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.663,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Alex Bolt67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8574955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Alex Bolt56c40.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7330544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Jamie Mackenzie35c35.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4917656.3%99 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22f…eff7backed Alex Bolt61c34.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.437750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c03…75babacked Alex Bolt60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alex Bolt50c32.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4174346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Jamie Mackenzie47c28.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d9…903abacked Alex Bolt54c28.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…93c7backed Jamie Mackenzie40c26.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.657644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Alex Bolt80c23.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7561755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Jamie Mackenzie51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2287060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Alex Bolt50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1060141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab9…c35abacked Alex Bolt62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe37…911dbacked Alex Bolt73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.432675.2%245 W · 81 L+20.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Alex Bolt76c13.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1657447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.