South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e5d024449cfe08325ec360aad9d23986de8f6992887cf0d30540d2db5350c21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,429 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 71c | 3,198$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.08 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 30c | 2,028$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.49 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 49c | 1,770$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.57 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,596$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.77 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 71c | 1,507$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 70c | 1,506$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,427$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 29c | 969.01$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.99 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 69c | 868.3$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed No | 53c | 846.26$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 810.43$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 29c | 622.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.32 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 29c | 586.48$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.4 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed No | 71c | 376.94$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 70c | 375.85$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 334.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 70c | 315.82$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 35c | 286.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 44c | 270$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 265.4$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 258.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 31c | 250$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 241.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 222.54$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 196.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 188.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 187$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 179.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 142.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 133.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 42c | 133.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 100.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 98.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 69c | 96.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 35c | 94.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 21c | 89.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 71.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 33c | 65.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 41c | 61.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 60c | 59.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…0e00backed Yes | 76c | 55.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 78c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b335backed No | 69c | 49.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 33c | 48.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 47.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 46.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Yes | 33c | 46.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 57c | 39.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3276…540cbacked No | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 69c | 31.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 69c | 25.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 69c | 21.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 63c | 17.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.