South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51651e775ef571750665a489477b3751cf334850db0ac1ca07dc46547cea333d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 2,801$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 66c | 1,426$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.54 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 53c | 1,390$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.15 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 43c | 1,316$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.25 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 49c | 861.72$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.09 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 688.39$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Under | 10c | 675.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 575.15$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.46 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 493.97$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 60c | 296.77$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 46c | 252.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 62c | 236.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 66c | 233.29$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 67c | 218.36$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 10c | 212.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 209.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…0f5ebacked Under | 27c | 201.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 200.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 192.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 53c | 139.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 34c | 101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 63c | 93.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 73c | 91.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 20c | 62.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 62.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 18c | 60.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…5222backed Under | 27c | 59.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 67c | 46.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Over | 67c | 43.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 70c | 41.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 64c | 40.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 40.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 33c | 32.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 35c | 30.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 50c | 29.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 50c | 29.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…5ff6backed Over | 67c | 27.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…cddbbacked Under | 37c | 27.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Under | 43c | 24.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Under | 56c | 23.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…9f48backed Over | 70c | 22.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 72c | 20.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Over | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Over | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 73c | 18.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…eb0abacked Over | 73c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.